Colorado Real Estate Market Update

The following analysis of the Metro Denver & Northern Colorado real estate market (which now includes Clear Creek, Gilpin, and Park Counties) is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact your Windermere agent.

 

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

The Colorado economy continues to grow, adding 69,100 new non-agricultural jobs over the past 12 months, which represents a solid growth rate of 2.6%. That said, we are continuing to see a modest slowdown in employment gains, but that is to be expected at this stage of the business cycle. My latest forecast suggests that Colorado will add a total of 65,000 new jobs in 2019, representing a growth rate of 2.3%.
In November, the state unemployment rate was 3.3%, up from 3% a year ago. The increase is essentially due to an increase in the labor force, which rose by 77,279 people. On an un-seasonally adjusted basis, unemployment rates in all the markets contained in this report dropped between November 2017 and November 2018. The highest rate was in Grand Junction, but that was still a very respectable 4%. Fort Collins and Boulder had the lowest unemployment rate of 2.9%. All the regions contained in this report are essentially at full employment.

HOME SALES ACTIVITY

  • In the fourth quarter of 2018, 12,911 homes sold — a drop of 13.8% compared to the last quarter of 2017 and down 22% from the third quarter.​
  • The only market that saw growth in sales was Clear Creek, which rose by 3.8%. This is a small market, however, and is prone to rapid swings in price as well as sales. There was a significant drop in sales in the Denver market. I will be watching closely to see if this is an anomaly or a longer-term trend. At this time, I believe the former to be true.​
  • Interestingly, this decline in sales in Denver came as inventory levels rose by 37%. For now, I attribute this to seasonality and expect to see sales growth return in the spring.
  • Inventory growth continues to give buyers more choice, allowing them to be far more selective — and patient — before making an offer on a home. That said, well-positioned and well-priced homes are selling relatively quickly.

HOME PRICES

  • Despite the rapid rise in listings and slowing home sales, prices continue to trend higher, though the rate of growth is slowing. The average home price in the region rose 6% year-over-year to $454,903. Home prices were 2% higher than in the third quarter.
  • In all, the data was not very surprising. As with many markets across the country, affordability is starting to become an issue. However, the recent drop in interest rates likely stimulated buyers at the end of 2018 and I expect to see good price growth in the first quarter of 2019.
  • Appreciation was strongest in Park County, where prices rose 28.2%. We can attribute this rapid increase to it being a small market. Only Gilpin County saw a drop in average home price. Though this, too, is due to it being a very small market, making it more prone to significant swings.
  • As mentioned, affordability is becoming an issue in many Colorado markets and I anticipate that we will see some cooling in home price appreciation as we move through late 2019.

 

 

DAYS ON MARKET

  • The average number of days it took to sell a home in Colorado rose by one day compared to the final quarter of 2017.
  • The amount of time it took to sell a home dropped in four counties: Boulder, Larimer, Gilpin, and Park. The rest of the counties in this report saw days on market rise relatively modestly with the exception of the small Clear Creek market, which rose by 20 days.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2018, it took an average of 38 days to sell a home in the region, but it took less than a month to sell a home in five of the eleven counties contained in this report.
  • Housing demand is still there, but buyers appear to have taken a little breather. I anticipate, however, that the spring will bring more activity and rising sales.

CONCLUSIONS

The speedometer reflects the state of the region’s real estate market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors.

For the fourth quarter of 2018, I continue the trend I started last summer and have moved the needle a little more in favor of buyers. I will be closely watching listing activity in the spring to see if we get any major bumps above the traditional increase because that may further slow home price growth — something that would-be buyers appear to be waiting for.

 

 

As Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, Matthew Gardner is responsible for analyzing and interpreting economic data and its impact on the real estate market on both a local and national level. Matthew has over 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

In addition to his day-to-day responsibilities, Matthew sits on the Washington State Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors; chairs the Board of Trustees at the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at the University of Washington; and is an Advisory Board Member at the Runstad Center for Real Estate Studies at the University of Washington where he also lectures in real estate economics.

Posted on February 5, 2019 at 6:33 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Gardner Report, Real Estate, Sellers | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

What Our Expert Thinks

 

• Existing Home Sales up 1.9% to 5.4 million units
• Home Prices up 4.4%
• New Home Sales up 6.9% to 695,000 (the highest since 2007)

 

If you want to see all of Matthew’s predictions including where interest rates are headed, get signed up for our annual Forecast. Click the link below!

https://www.eventbrite.com/o/windermere-real-estate-12011801121

The Gardner Report | Metro Denver & Northern Colorado Q3 2018

 

Posted on January 4, 2019 at 6:25 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Gardner Report, Real Estate, Sellers | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Still Up

All the talk of the market cooling off might make someone think that prices must be going down.

The truth is prices are still going up.

Here are the latest year-over-year appreciation numbers from the Federal Housing Finance Authority (they track 243 markets all across the Country):

Colorado Springs 11.44%

Greeley 10.53%

Denver 9.97%

Boulder 9.89%

Fort Collins/Loveland 8.64%

Posted on December 21, 2018 at 6:46 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

At Least List

At Least List

Here’s a stat you’ve heard from us before…

It’s called “At Least List”

It measures how active the market is by tracking the number of single family homes that sell for at least list price.

SalePrice.jpg

Because of the demand in our market, many homes sell for list price or higher.

So here’s the latest based on closings so far in the month of July…

The percentage of single family homes selling for at least list price:

  • Fort Collins = 58%
  • Loveland = 67%
  • Windsor = 55%
  • Greeley = 75%

Based on these numbers, homes that are priced right, and positioned right in the market will attain the price the seller wants (or higher).

Posted on July 30, 2018 at 5:11 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Fun Facts, Real Estate, Sellers | Tagged , , , , , ,

Average Home Prices in Northern Colorado

Money, Home, Coin, Investment, Business

Yesterday the Coloradoan ran a very good article about the increase of average home prices in Larimer County, which they stated has now reached $405,000.

We thought this article may make you curious to know what the average prices are in each specific city in Northern Colorado:

  • Fort Collins = $453,051
  • Loveland = $402,132
  • Windsor = $463,769
  • Greeley = $310,785
  • Timnath = $604,481
  • Wellington = $338,999
  • Boulder = $1,105,634

source = IRES

If you want to be totally clear on all the stats, facts and trends in Colorado real estate so that you know what the future value of your home looks like, get signed up for our next webinar presentation.

This is a complimentary service for our clients and friends.

 

image

See all the latest facts, stats and trends of the Colorado market from the comfort of your own laptop.

Join our next online Windermere Workshop for a mid-year market update.

The online presentation is July 18th at 2:00pm. If you can’t join live you will automatically get the recording.

Posted on July 14, 2018 at 2:04 am
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Relief is on the Way

image

Relief is on the way!

There is good news and bad news.

The good news is I-25 traffic relief is on the way. The bad news is we will have to live through three summers of construction before it’s done.

Did you know the 26 miles between Highway 14 in Fort Collins and Highway 66 in Longmont Interstate 25 serves more than 45,000 cars per day? Wow!

Part of that stretch of interstate will get a third lane starting this summer. Construction is set to begin next month that will add a third lane between Highway 14 and Highway 402.

The project is happening 14 years ahead of schedule thanks to additional funding from several sources including the Cities of Fort Collins and Loveland. The first step we will notice is construction on the I 25/Highway 34 intersection.

This is great news for our region that will bring much needed relief. We will all just need to be a little patient while the work is being done.

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email me at julie.maxwell@windermere.comand we will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Get our Investment Kit…

image

Welcome to Friday Fun Facts!

Thanks for checking out this week’s Friday Fun Facts!

These little nuggets of information are designed to inform, education and entertain you. I promise to give you some solid takeaways, based on real life with information that will keep you up-to-date.

You can expect an entertaining short video or article once a week. If you really like it, share it with your friends!

Posted on May 18, 2018 at 5:34 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , ,

66% Off!

This just in…

For the month of April, the average price of a home in the city of Boulder was $1,247,000. This is according to the latest from our IRES MLS system.

If you want to own a home about an hour down the road in another really nice college town and get a 66% discount, you may want to check out Fort Collins 🙂

Yes, despite the recent uptick in prices here locally, we are still a bargain compared to Boulder. Here are median single-family prices for our markets and their relative price to Boulder:

  • Fort Collins = $414,237 (66.8% off)
  • Loveland = $360,150 (71.1% off)
  • Greeley = $290,000 (76.7% off)
  • Windsor = $306,450 (75.4% off)

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email me at julie.maxwell@windermere.com and I will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Posted on May 11, 2018 at 5:01 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Under $300,000  

If a real estate buyer walks into one of our offices in Northern Colorado and tells us they are looking for a single-family home under $300,000, unfortunately there will not be many properties to choose from. Depending on where they are looking the choices may be very limited.
Here is a list of the number of single-family homes currently for sale (excluding manufactured homes) in Northern Colorado:

  • Fort Collins = 0
  • Loveland = 7
  • Windsor = 0
  • Wellington = 0
  • Timnath = 0
  • Greeley = 27
  • Evans = 8
  • Milliken = 2

If our active market has you thinking about investing in real estate in Northern Colorado. Check this out…

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email us at colorado@windermere.com and we will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Posted on April 27, 2018 at 5:28 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Most Active

“What is the most active price range in our market?”

For most of Northern Colorado, the range of $300,000 to $500,000 is far and away the most active (no surprise there). For example, in Fort Collins there are more than three times as many sales in this price range compared to the range of $500,000 to $700,000.

The one exception is Greeley. In Greeley the most active price range is under $300,000. This price range has twice as many sales as the $300,000 to $500,000 range. Why is this true for Greeley and not other places? You guessed it – it’s because the other locations don’t have much inventory under $300,000.

It’s interesting to note that in Fort Collins there are more sales in the $500,000 to $700,000 range than the under $300,000 range. This was not the case even one year ago.

The market is changing right before our eyes.

Posted on April 25, 2018 at 9:58 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Fun Facts, Real Estate | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

18 Days

 

image

18 Days

We now measure inventory levels in terms of days. Typically we measure in months. For instance, a “balanced market” is when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory currently for sale. Meaning that, in a balanced market, it would take 4 to 6 months to sell every home that is currently on the market.

Anything less than 4 months is a seller’s market. Certainly, when we measure in days, we are in an extreme seller’s market.

Today the Greeley market has 18 days of inventory, Fort Collins has 27 days, Loveland has 30, and Windsor has 51.

These are all lower than a year ago. For example, Greeley at this time last year had 27 days of inventory.

But this statistic can be misleading. Sometimes people assume that the extreme seller’s market applies to all price ranges and all locations.

Not true. When we drill down we find sub-patterns that are revealing. For example, homes in Loveland priced over $500,000 have 3 months of inventory and homes in Fort Collins over $750,000 have 5 months.

Because inventory levels tend to increase as prices increase, there becomes a distinct advantage for the move up buyer. Today, many people can sell in an extreme seller’s market and move up to a price range with less competition and more selection.

If our active market has you thinking about investing in real estate in Northern Colorado. Check this out…

Grab a copy of our Investment Kit so you can see the simple steps to get started without stress or complication. Email us at julie.maxwell@windermere.com and we will send you a video which clarifies the process and our Investment Checklist so you can see what to do first.

Get our Investment Kit…

image
Posted on April 13, 2018 at 3:49 pm
Julie Maxwell | Category: Buyers, Fun Facts, Real Estate, Sellers | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,